Uncertainty: a Tutorial
A PDF version of this post can be found <a href="https://drive.google.com/open?id=1swsAR8q5nJMB1SE6cQBKHrA1tCAsU_EP">here</a>.<br /> <a href="https://www.jianshu.com/p/dc9128123afc">Chinese translation by Xiaoyi Yin</a><br /> <br /> Notions of <b>uncertainty </b>are tossed around in conversations around AI safety, risk management, portfolio optimization, scientific measurement, and insurance. Here are a few examples of colloquial use:<br /> <br /> <div> <ul> <li>"We want machine learning models










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