Residual-Guided Multi-Resolution Refinement of Foundation Models: A Case Study in Drought Forecasting
arXiv:2607.17507v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Regional climate prediction presents unique challenges for time series foundation models, which typically process temporal patterns through single-pass inference. Expert climatologists, in contrast, employ multi-scale temporal analysis and iterative refinement based on systematic error diagnosis. We present RGMR (Residual-Guided Multi-Resolution Refinement), an inference-time framework that adapts pre-trained foundation models to perform structured